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THE VETERANS' PRESS: The shrinking veteran population

by JONATHAN E. VESPA/Special to The Veterans' Press
| February 15, 2022 1:06 AM

INTRODUCTION

The first veterans of the United States served during the American Revolution in the Continental Army, created in 1775 when colonial militias formed a common army under the command of George Washington. Since then, the United States has declared war 11 times and fought in conflicts around the world. More than 41 million Americans have served over the course of the nation’s history. More than 16 million did so in World War II alone.

Who are America’s veterans? Throughout history, they have included the Green Mountain Boys, Buffalo Soldiers, Tuskegee Airmen, Women Airforce Service Pilots, Screaming Eagles and Green Berets. They are the men and women who served their country at home and abroad, on land, sea and air — and since 1973, have served as an all-volunteer force.

This report looks at the roughly 18 million Americans, or about 7% of the adult population, who were veterans of the U.S. Armed Forces in 2018. Ranging from 18 to over 100 years old, they served in conflicts as diverse as the Korean War and the global War on Terrorism. This report provides an overview of these men and women, such as how many veterans alive today served in World War II, the characteristics of Vietnam veterans and how many Gulf War veterans are disabled. The report primarily uses data from: The 2018 American Community Survey to describe the demographic, socioeconomic and health characteristics of veterans by their period of service in the armed forces. Importantly, the report focuses on veterans who were alive in 2018. It does not describe all veterans who served during a specific period in the military or the characteristics of veterans at the time that they left service.

The U.S. Census Bureau reviewed this data product for unauthorized disclosure of confidential information and has approved the disclosure avoidance practices applied to this release. CBDRB-FY20-POP001-0048.

HIGHLIGHTS

• The number of veterans in the United States declined by a third, from 26.4 million to 18.0 million between 2000 and 2018.

• There are fewer than 500,000 World War II veterans alive today, down from 5.7 million in 2000.

• Women make up a growing share of veterans. Today, about 9% of veterans — or 1.7 million — are women. By 2040, that number is projected to rise to 17%.

• The largest cohort of veterans alive today served during the Vietnam era (6.4 million), which lasted from 1964 to 1975. The second largest cohort of veterans served during peacetime only (4.0 million).

• The median age of veterans today is 65 years. By service period, Post-9/11 veterans are the youngest with a median age of about 37, Vietnam era veterans have a median age of about 71, and World War II veterans are the oldest with a median age of about 93.

• Veterans from more recent service periods have the highest levels of education. More than three-quarters of Post-9/11 and Gulf War veterans have at least some college experience, and more than one-third of Gulf War veterans have a college degree.

• Post-9/11 veterans had a 43% chance of having a service-connected disability, after accounting for differences in demographic and social characteristics among veterans — significantly higher than veterans from other periods.

• Among veterans who had a service-connected disability, Post-9/11 veterans had a 39% chance of having a disability rating of 70%.

A service-connected disability is an injury, disease, or disability that was the result of service in the armed forces.

THE DECLINING SIZE OF THE VETERAN POPULATION

Roughly 18.0 million veterans are living in the United States today. They served during times of war (such as during the Gulf War and Vietnam Era) and times of peace (from 1955 to 1964 and 1975 to 1990). The largest single group of veterans (6.4 million) is from the Vietnam era. The fastest declining group of veterans is from World War II. Between 2000 and 2018, the number of living World War II veterans in the United States declined from 5.7 million to fewer.

Estimates in this report come from the American Community Survey and may differ from other data sources. For example, the Department of Veterans Affairs estimated that there were 19.6 million veterans living in the United States in 2018.

By 2030, it is projected there will be fewer than 8,000 World War II veterans.

Indeed, the veteran population has been declining for decades. Between 2000 and 2018 alone, the veteran population declined by one-third, from 26.4 million to 18.0 million.

The population of veterans is projected to continue declining by 2.5 million over the next decade. By 2040, it is projected there will be about 12.9 million veterans living in the United States, down from a high of 28.6 million in 1980.

For projections of the veteran population, see Veteran Population Model (VetPop 2016), calculated by the National Center for Veterans Analysis and Statistics, U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs www.va.gov/vetdata/Veteran _Population.asp.

Estimate does not include people who became veterans after 2000 but died before 2018.

Note: Except for peacetime only, the periods of service are not mutually exclusive. Veterans may have served at any point during the time listed for the service periods; they may not have necessarily served in the war for which the period is named. Data based on sample. For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see www.census.gov/acs.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 1-Year American Community Survey.