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Federal Reserve projects one rate cut this year, sees limited economic impact from Iran war

| March 18, 2026 11:30 AM

WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve officials expect the Iran war will worsen inflation this year while having little impact on economic growth, but they still expect to cut their key rate once in 2026.

For now, Fed policymakers left short-term interest rates unchanged Wednesday for the second straight meeting at about 3.6%. In a statement, the central bank said that the “implications of developments in the Middle East for the U.S. economy are uncertain.”

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